Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Weather Update – Tuesday 10 February 2026 (7 am)
Source: BMCB multi-model (ICOND2 – AROME HD – ALADIN)
A persistently unsettled weather pattern will affect the country over the next 36 hours, bringing frequent rainfall and moderate to occasionally strong winds.
🌧 Expected rainfall (36 hours)
- North of the Scheldt: 7–11 l/m²
- Between the Scheldt and the Sambre–Meuse: 8–16 l/m²
- South of the Sambre–Meuse: 13–23 l/m²
Today
The day starts very cloudy to overcast, with local light rain, continuing at times through the afternoon.
- Wind: southeast to south, later southwest to south, with gusts of 20–40 km/h.
- Maximum temperatures: around 10°C along the coast, 7–12°C inland, and only 5–6°C in the High Ardennes.
During the evening, rain will become widespread.
- Wind: south to southeast, gusts 15–35 km/h.
Tonight
Conditions remain often wet, especially across the eastern half of the country.
- Wind: south to southwest, gusts 15–30 km/h.
- Minimum temperatures: around 9°C at the coast, 9–10°C inland, and 5–9°C south of the Sambre–Meuse corridor.
Tomorrow
Widespread rain during the morning, becoming less frequent over Flanders in the afternoon.
- Wind: southwest to west, gusts 25–40 km/h, increasing locally to 35–55 km/h.
- Maximum temperatures: near 10°C at the coast, 9–13°C inland, and 7–8°C in the High Ardennes.
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 10 February 2026 | 09:00
Mild conditions across Belgium will peak over the next 36 hours, with the national thermal indicator rising to +9. Minimum temperatures will range from 5 to 11 °C, while daytime maxima will reach 7 to 13 °C.
This spell of mild weather will be short-lived. By the end of the week, a sharp cooldown is expected, with the thermal indicator dropping to –5 over the weekend. During the night from Saturday to Sunday, minimum temperatures will fall to –1 to –7 °C, and locally –8 to –13 °C in the valleys of eastern Belgium. Daytime temperatures will remain low, with maximum values between +3 and –4 °C.
Thereafter, a gradual recovery is forecast. The thermal indicator should generally fluctuate between 0 and +3 until at least 23 February. Daytime highs will initially range from 4 to 10 °C, later from 2 to 8 °C, while nighttime lows will ease from 1 to 7 °C towards more seasonable values of –2 to +4 °C.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 10 February 2026 | 11 a.m.
A deep low-pressure system, with a central pressure of around 975 hPa, will reach the west coast of Ireland on Wednesday before moving on Thursday towards the north of the Benelux and western Germany.
The system will bring active rain bands, affecting our regions on Wednesday and Thursday. From Friday onwards, these will give way to a cooler airflow, gradually turning north to north-easterly, drawing air from the North Sea and Denmark.
Over the weekend, this air mass will become temporarily unstable and noticeably colder. On Saturday in particular, showers of sleet or graupel are possible, while the Ardennes high ground may see some snowfall.
Linked to another low of around 973 hPa located north-west of Scotland, a new frontal system will move in from the west during the night from Sunday to Monday, bringing rain, locally preceded by sleet or snow.
Thereafter, next week should see the return of a milder west to south-westerly flow, alternating between unsettled and disturbed conditions.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 10 February 2026, 1:00 pm
Weather outlook – summary
based on the BMCB multi-model approach (operational models and ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF ensembles)
Thursday 12 February
Mild but unsettled. Mostly cloudy with periods of rain, locally moderate to heavy (10–30 l/m²). Later in the day, more variable conditions from the west with showers and occasional sunny spells.
Moderate to fairly strong west to north-westerly winds, with gusts of 40–60 km/h.
Friday 13 February
Predominantly overcast with showers or wintry showers (1–15 l/m²), increasingly turning to sleet from the west.
Overnight, sleet or snow may reach lowland areas, while persistent snowfall is expected in the Ardennes.
A brisk northerly wind, with gusts of 55–75 km/h, especially in the west.
Saturday 14 February
Very cool conditions. Mostly cloudy in the east, more variable in central and western regions. Further sleet or snow showers possible in lowlands, with snow continuing in the Ardennes (1–8 l/m²).
Moderate to fresh northerly winds, gusting 45–65 km/h.
Sunday 15 February
Rather cold. Initially sunny, but cloud will increase markedly during the afternoon.
In the evening and overnight, rain will move in from the west, preceded by sleet or snow above 200–300 m (4–20 l/m²).
Monday 16 February
Cool and unsettled, with periods of rain (5–15 l/m²).
A risk of sleet above 400 m and snow above 600 m remains.
Moderate to strong southerly to south-westerly winds, with gusts up to 75 km/h.
Likely trend (17–24 February)
Predominantly mild and unsettled weather, with frequent rain or showers.
The risk of sleet or snow will be largely confined to higher elevations of the Ardennes (roughly 450–650 m and above).
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Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 9 February 2026
The end of February and the very first days of March could be characterised by a contrasting synoptic pattern across Europe. A strong high-pressure system is expected to be positioned over the northern Atlantic and northern parts of the European continent, while a low-pressure centre develops over northern Italy. Between these two systems, an active and moist frontal zone would extend from central France towards Belarus and Ukraine, crossing central Europe and the northern Balkans.
Under this setup, our regions would be influenced by a northerly to north-easterly flow, occasionally unstable, allowing for the passage of a few showers. Temperatures would generally remain close to seasonal averages.
Later in the first ten days of March, model guidance suggests a gradual expansion of the high-pressure area from the Atlantic towards southern Scandinavia and further towards the Black Sea. This evolution would favour the dominance of a drier, continental air flow over our regions, bringing more stable weather conditions.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 6-2-26
Towards a milder start to spring, though uncertainties remain
From 23 February to 1 March: calmer and drier conditions ahead
A southerly flow may allow high pressure to extend towards Western Europe, bringing a period of generally calmer and drier weather. Some weak disturbances could still cross the country, but without significant impact. Supported by the southerly airflow, temperatures would rise to around 1 to 2°C above seasonal averages.
From 2 to 9 March: a continuation of settled weather?
The southerly flow is expected to persist into early March, maintaining largely settled conditions as low-pressure systems track further north across Europe. However, a possible shift of low pressure towards the British Isles cannot be ruled out, potentially introducing the first typical March showers. Despite these uncertainties, temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)