Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update 8 February 2026, 7 a.m.
(BMCB multi-model: ICON-D2, AROME-HD, ALADIN)
Rainfall (next 36 hours)
No significant precipitation is expected across the country.
Today
- Morning: Locally persistent fog over the Campine region and south of the Sambre–Meuse line. Elsewhere mostly sunny, except in West Flanders where it remains cloudy.
Wind: variable or south-east to east, 5–20 km/h. - Afternoon: Largely sunny with a few remaining clouds over West Flanders.
Wind: south-east to east, 10–25 km/h.
Maximum temperatures: around 10 °C along the coast, 9 to 13 °C inland, but only 7 to 8 °C in the High Ardennes. - Evening: Fog redeveloping mainly over the north and east; elsewhere clear or slightly veiled skies.
Tonight
Wide clear spells over central and northern areas, with local fog patches. Very cloudy conditions over Hainaut, southern Flanders, Namur, Liège and the whole of Belgian Luxembourg.
Wind: south to south-east, 10–30 km/h.
Minimum temperatures: about 4 °C on the coast, 0 to 5 °C inland, and +3 to −3 °C south of the Sambre–Meuse line.
Tomorrow
- Morning: Final sunny breaks over Limburg and the north of Liège province; very cloudy elsewhere.
Wind: south to south-east, 10–30 km/h, gusting up to 40 km/h over the Ardennes. - Afternoon: Mostly very cloudy, with a few brighter spells possible, especially around Liège.
Wind: south-east to south, 20–40 km/h.
Maximum temperatures: around 8 °C on the coast, 5 to 10 °C inland, and 3 to 4 °C in the High Ardennes.
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 8 February 2026 | 09:00
Up to 12 February, Belgium’s national thermal index will fluctuate between +2 and +7. This will result in maximum temperatures ranging from 7 to 13 °C, locally reaching 14 °C on Sunday and again next Wednesday. On the other days, values will be more moderate, generally between 5 and 11 °C.
Between 13 and 16 February, a cooler trend is expected to develop. The thermal index will fall to values between +1 and -2, bringing daytime highs of 0 to 7 °C on the coldest days and 2 to 8 °C during the less cool periods. Over the course of that weekend, local frost is likely: minimum temperatures around +2 °C along the coast, down to -5 °C in the Ardennes, and locally -6 to -10 °C in snow-covered valleys in the east of the country.
From 17 February onwards, and at least until 22 February, the national thermal index is expected to rise again to values between 0 and +2. Daytime temperatures would then generally range between 4 and 10 °C, indicating conditions close to or slightly above seasonal averages.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 8 February 2026 | 12:00
On Monday, slightly less mild but more humid air will move into our regions from the south, while a deep low-pressure system with a central pressure near 977 hPa approaches western Ireland on Tuesday.
The associated frontal systems and rainfall will mainly affect us during the night from Tuesday into Wednesday, as the low-pressure centre (around 978 hPa) tracks west to east across northern England.
We will then be under the influence of unstable, humid and notably mild maritime air.
On Thursday, the same low will shift towards the eastern North Sea, deepening further to around 972 hPa.
This will initiate the advection of colder air towards the north of the British Isles, while another low-pressure system, near 983 hPa, is expected to cross France during the course of Friday.
Over the weekend, unstable and noticeably cooler air of polar origin will reach us from the northwest, bringing showers.
However, a ridge of high pressure should temporarily reduce shower activity on Sunday. This improvement is likely to be short-lived, with new disturbances returning from the following night and into early next week, as milder maritime air moves back in, with temperatures generally ranging between 4 and 10 °C.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update: 8 February 2026, 1 p.m.
Analysis based on the BMCB multimodel (operational models and ensembles ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF).
Very mild and unsettled weather before gradual cooling
Tuesday, 10 February
Milder under very cloudy skies. Some rain possible during the day, broader precipitation at night.
South wind strengthening, gusts 30–50 km/h.
Precipitation: 0.5–10 mm
Wednesday, 11 February
Still very mild but significantly wetter. Cloudy to partly cloudy, with periods of sometimes heavy rain.
Moderate to fairly strong southwest wind, gusts 35–55 km/h.
Precipitation: 5–35 mm
Thursday, 12 February
Mild and unsettled. Alternating clouds and sunshine, occasional heavy showers.
West to northwest wind, fairly strong, gusts 45–65 km/h.
Precipitation: 4–28 mm
Friday, 13 February
Partly cloudy with showers or occasional heavier rain. West to northwest wind noticeable.
Precipitation: 1–32 mm
Saturday, 14 February
Cooler. Rain showers with melting snow above 200 m and snow above 400–500 m.
Precipitation: 1–14 mm
Probable trend
Sunday, 15 February
Cool with occasional sunshine. Rain possible in the evening and night, preceded by melting snow; snow above 200–300 m.
Precipitation: 2–8 mm
Monday, 16 February
Periods of sometimes persistent rain. Later or at night, possible showers of melting snow from 400–500 m, snow above 600–650 m.
Precipitation: 9–26 mm
Tuesday, 17 February
Temporarily milder. Frequent rain, locally melting snow above 500 m.
Precipitation: 10–21 mm
Wednesday, 18 February
Mild and unstable. Alternating showers, risk of melting snow above 600 m.
Precipitation: 9–14 mm
Thursday, 19 February
Periods of rain or showers. Persistent risk of melting snow above 500–600 m.
Precipitation: 6–10 mm
Friday, 20 February
Wet with intermittent rain. Melting snow possible above 500 m.
Precipitation: 5–9 mm
Saturday, 21 February
Still mild and unstable. Frequent rain or showers, melting snow possible above 650 m.
Precipitation: 7–15 mm
Sunday, 22 February
Mild, alternating sunshine and showers. Melting snow only above 650 m.
Precipitation: 6–9 mm
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Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 7 February 2026
Late February and the very start of March could be shaped by a contrasting synoptic pattern, with a low-pressure system positioned over the southern Baltic region and Poland, while a broad area of high pressure extends from the Atlantic south of Iceland towards northern Scandinavia.
This setup would favour a northerly to north-westerly airflow, bringing relatively cool and unsettled conditions to the North Sea and surrounding regions, with a typical showery regime.
ECMWF ensemble guidance also indicates signals of a gradual eastward shift of the northern high-pressure system. During the first ten days of March, high pressure could expand from the Norwegian Sea towards western Russia.
Such a configuration would place large parts of Europe under a dry continental flow, still on the cool side, but with temperatures generally close to seasonal averages.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 6-2-26
Towards a milder start to spring, though uncertainties remain
From 23 February to 1 March: calmer and drier conditions ahead
A southerly flow may allow high pressure to extend towards Western Europe, bringing a period of generally calmer and drier weather. Some weak disturbances could still cross the country, but without significant impact. Supported by the southerly airflow, temperatures would rise to around 1 to 2°C above seasonal averages.
From 2 to 9 March: a continuation of settled weather?
The southerly flow is expected to persist into early March, maintaining largely settled conditions as low-pressure systems track further north across Europe. However, a possible shift of low pressure towards the British Isles cannot be ruled out, potentially introducing the first typical March showers. Despite these uncertainties, temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)