Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 10 January 2026 | 7 AM
(BMCB multimodel: ICOND2 – AROME HD – ALADIN)
🌧 Precipitation – next 36 hours
Rain and snow amounts will remain minimal across the country, barely exceeding trace levels:
- North of the Scheldt: 0–0.5 L/m²
- Between the Scheldt and the Sambre–Meuse axis: 0–0.5 L/m²
- South of the Sambre–Meuse axis: 0–0.5 L/m²
❄️ Today: persistent winter cold under heavy skies
This morning
A heavily clouded to overcast sky dominates most regions. Light snowfall is still occurring in places, mainly across eastern Hainaut, Namur, Liège, and Belgian Luxembourg, as the final remnants of the wintry episode linger.
Wind: northwest to northeast, gusts 20–40 km/h.
This afternoon
Little change is expected. The sky remains largely overcast, with only very local and weak snow flurries still possible.
Wind: northwest to northeast, gusts 20–40 km/h.
Maximum temperatures (already reached during the morning): around 1°C along the coast, 0 to -2°C inland, and -3 to -6°C over the High Ardennes.
This evening
Cloud cover will persist, though a few breaks may develop over the eastern Ardennes, briefly revealing clearer skies.
Wind: north to northeast, gusts 10–20 km/h.
Tonight
Skies become cloudy with occasional clear intervals, with more pronounced clear spells over Campine, the Liège area, and northern Belgian Luxembourg.
The cold will intensify markedly.
Minimum temperatures: around -2°C along the coast, -2 to -5°C inland, -4 to -9°C south of the Sambre–Meuse corridor, and a severe -10 to -15°C in sheltered valleys.
Wind: variable, gusts 5–15 km/h.
🌥 Tomorrow
Morning
Cloudy conditions will prevail, interspersed with occasional breaks, and even brighter spells possible over northern Liège.
Wind: southerly, gusts 15–35 km/h.
Afternoon
Cloud cover thickens once again, leading to cloudy to very cloudy skies.
Wind: southerly, gusts 20–40 km/h, locally 40–50 km/h in western Flanders.
Maximum temperatures (reached in the morning): around 1°C along the coast, -1 to +1°C inland, and -2 to -4°C over the High Ardennes.
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 10 January 2026 | 11:00
Winter cold is set to reach its peak over the next twenty-four hours.
The national thermal index is expected to drop to –6, reflecting daytime maximum temperatures ranging from +1 to –4°C, while night-time minima will generally fall between –3 and –9°C.
In the sheltered valleys south of the Sambre–Meuse line, the cold may prove significantly more severe, with a risk of temperatures plunging to –10 to –15°C, driven by strong nocturnal temperature inversions.
From 12 January onwards, a gradual moderation is forecast. The thermal index will recover noticeably, fluctuating between +1 and +5 through to 24 January. This shift should translate into milder daytime temperatures, typically between +3 and +11°C, depending on the day and the altitude of each region.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps (6=>? days)
Update – 10 January 2026 | 2:00 PM
The Scandinavian cold air mass that has settled over our regions in recent days is now preparing to withdraw. From Monday onwards, it will gradually be pushed back northwards under the influence of a well-established southerly flow. This circulation will set up between, on the one hand, a strong anticyclonic ridge — with surface pressures ranging from 1025 to 1029 hPa, stretching from the heart of the Mediterranean Basin through Central Europe and up towards Scandinavia — and, on the other hand, a pair of active Atlantic depressions, with central pressures between 992 and 968 hPa, moving across the nearby and north-eastern Atlantic.
Ahead of the arrival of this significantly milder air, a transitional weather system will cross the country on Monday. It will bring precipitation, initially falling as snow or freezing rain, before rapidly turning to rain as the milder air advances.
The entire week ahead will be shaped by this southerly regime. The prevailing flow will repeatedly draw mild air from the western Mediterranean, keeping temperatures well above seasonal norms. From time to time, disturbances tracking northwards towards the British Isles and the North Sea will introduce spells of rain, without any lasting challenge to this generally mild and unsettled pattern.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update –
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Forecast anomalies at 500 hPa
(mid-troposphere = 5,000–6,000 m altitude)
Update – 10 January 2026
The latest analyses based on ECMWF ensemble guidance, focusing on mid-tropospheric anomaly patterns, outline a markedly contrasted synoptic setup across Europe towards the end of January.
A broad anticyclonic system is expected to establish itself over northern Europe, while a low-pressure zone extends across the Mediterranean Basin and the Maghreb.
Between these two dominant systems, a colder continental airflow from the north-east to east is likely to take hold across our regions, reinforcing a distinctly wintry atmosphere.
Looking ahead to the second ten-day period of February, the anticyclone is forecast to shift southwards, stretching from northern France towards central Europe. This evolution would favour a calm, dry and stable weather regime, with markedly reduced frontal activity.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 31-12-25
Weather Trends – Mid to Late January
15 to 25 January: mild and unsettled conditions
This period is expected to be influenced by a west to south-westerly airflow, remaining fairly unsettled. Between 19 and 25 January, a succession of Atlantic low-pressure systems could affect the region, bringing recurrent spells of rain, interspersed with temporary quieter intervals.
Within this pattern, temperatures are likely to rise slightly above seasonal averages, though without any pronounced anomalies. Overall, this would result in a generally mild and humid winter regime, driven by Atlantic influences.
26 January to 1 February: potentially calmer and more seasonal
At this range, forecast confidence remains low, and these trends should therefore be interpreted with caution.
Based on the current ensemble mean of the models, a gradual easing of conditions cannot be ruled out. Weather patterns could then move closer to seasonal norms, with temperatures near average and a changeable sky, but without any significant disturbances.
Such a configuration would be conducive to the formation of fog and low cloud, particularly across low-lying areas and valleys, due to stable conditions in the lower atmospheric layers.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)