General Weather Evolution for the Next 6 Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps (6 days)
Update – 15 July 2025 at 12:00 PM – General Atmospheric Outlook
A low-pressure system of 1000 hPa is moving eastward over the British Isles, driving a cool and unstable oceanic air mass across much of Western Europe over the next 48 hours, accompanied by frequent showers.
On Thursday, atmospheric conditions will temporarily stabilise with the arrival of a high-pressure cell (1018 hPa) centred over northern France and Belgium.
However, this lull will be short-lived. A new depression of 1010 hPa is expected to form over France on Friday and move towards England on Saturday, bringing with it an active storm system, preceded by a brief surge of warm Mediterranean air.
On Sunday, a very mild southerly flow will persist, but it will become increasingly unstable ahead of a deeper low (996 hPa) forecast for the afternoon over Wales.
This system will shift towards the North Sea on Monday, ushering in a highly unstable airflow over our regions, along with a notable drop in temperatures during the first half of next week.
36-hour forecast (Chart)
(These forecasts are generally updated every days)
Update – 15 July 2025, 9:00 AM
(Sources: BMCB Multimodel – ICOND2, AROMEHD, ALADIN)
🌧️ Expected rainfall over the next 36 hours:
- North of the Scheldt: 0 to 10 mm
- Between the Scheldt and the Sambre-Meuse axis: 0 to 8 mm
- South of the Sambre-Meuse axis: 0 to 3 mm
📅 Detailed forecast for Tuesday
🌤 Morning
Partly cloudy with sunny intervals. Cumulus clouds will cover 30 to 70% of the sky across most regions, increasing to 50 to 90% south of the Sambre and Meuse.
💨 Moderate west to southwesterly winds with gusts between 20 and 40 km/h.
🌥 Afternoon
A variable sky. Sunny spells will linger along the coast, but cloud cover will increase inland: 40 to 80% cumulus, altocumulus and cirrus, rising to 60 to 90% in southern areas.
Scattered showers are likely, especially over both Flanders, Antwerp, western Hainaut and the Ardennes.
💨 Westerly to southwesterly winds, with gusts of 30 to 45 km/h, reaching up to 55 km/h along the coast.
🌡️ Maximum temperatures:
• 21–22°C along the coast
• 22–23°C inland
• 18–20°C in the Ardennes
🌆 Evening
30 to 70% coverage of altocumulus, altostratus and cirrus across much of the country.
💨 Southwesterly winds with gusts of 15 to 35 km/h, locally 35 to 45 km/h on the coast.
🌙 Overnight
Overcast skies across both Flanders and locally south of the Sambre-Meuse axis. Elsewhere, cloud cover will vary between 40 and 90%.
Light rain may affect northern Flanders, Antwerp and the High Fens.
💨 Moderate southwesterly winds with gusts up to 35 km/h, and 45 km/h near the coast.
🌡️ Minimum temperatures:
• 17–18°C on the coast
• 16–17°C in the lowlands
• 12–13°C in the Ardennes
📅 Forecast for Wednesday 16 July
⛅ Morning
Mostly cloudy with 80 to 100% cumulus and altocumulus across the country.
Showers are likely, especially in Antwerp, Limburg and Liège.
💨 West to southwesterly winds with gusts of 30 to 45 km/h.
🌦 Afternoon
A more unstable atmosphere with 80 to 100% cumulus, altocumulus and cumulonimbus.
Occasional thunderstorms likely, especially in Antwerp, Limburg and Liège. Elsewhere, cloud cover will range from 50 to 80%.
💨 Winds turning west to northwest, gusting from 35 to 50 km/h.
🌡️ Maximum temperatures:
• 21–22°C on the coast
• 22–24°C inland
• 17–20°C in the Ardennes
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Forecast for the coming days
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS ) (Chart)
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are generally updated every 2-4 days)
Stylised Weather Forecast – Sunday 13 July 2025, 3:00 PM
Based on the BMCB Multimodel (ICON – AIFS – ECMWF)
📅 Wednesday 16 July – Unsettled and chilly
🌡 Max temperatures: 15 to 22°C
🌧 Rainfall (00h–00h):
• North of the Scheldt: 2–9 mm
• Central regions: 2–9 mm
• South: 2–15 mm
💨 NW winds with gusts up to 40–55 km/h
Morning: Showers over north Flanders, Campine, Namur and Liège. Mostly cloudy elsewhere.
Afternoon: Some sunny spells in western regions; showers persist in the east.
Night: Clearing skies but with mist/fog patches forming over the Ardennes.
📅 Thursday 17 July – Sunny and warmer
🌡 Max temperatures: 18 to 27°C
🌧 Rainfall (00h–00h): 0–1 mm everywhere
Morning: Mostly sunny with some cumulus over Campine and south of the Meuse.
Afternoon: Sunny at the coast, locally more cloud inland.
Night: Gradual increase in cloud cover (50–90 %).
📅 Friday 18 July – Passing disturbance
🌡 Max temperatures: 21 to 26°C
🌧 Rainfall (00h–00h):
• North: 0–2 mm
• Central belt: 0–3 mm
• South: 0–3 mm
Morning: Very cloudy with a few rain patches.
Afternoon: Rain over Antwerp, Limburg, Namur and Liège. Elsewhere, brighter and sunny at the coast.
Night: Clear over Flanders and Hainaut; cloudy further east.
📅 Saturday 19 July – Summer warmth returns
🌡 Max temperatures: 21 to 28°C
🌧 Rainfall (00h–00h):
• North: 0–1 mm
• Centre: 0–2 mm
• South: 0–3 mm
Morning: Partly cloudy (20–70 %).
Afternoon: Sunny at the coast, variable inland with local showers in East Flanders, Antwerp, Limburg and Liège.
Night: Clearing skies, with low stratus and fog developing in the Ardennes.
🔮 Outlook: 20–27 July
Based on ensemble means (AIFS – ECMWF)
📅 Sunday 20 July: 21–28°C | 🌧 0–1 mm – Mostly dry, partly cloudy
📅 Monday 21 July: 21–27°C | 🌧 5–11 mm – Local heavy showers
📅 Tuesday 22 July: 19–25°C | 🌧 3–21 mm – Showery and variable
📅 Wednesday 23 July: 19–25°C | 🌧 1–8 mm – Cloudy with rain
📅 Thursday 24 July: 18–25°C | 🌧 3–5 mm – Persistent unsettled weather
📅 Friday 25 July: 19–26°C | 🌧 0–3 mm – A few remaining showers
📅 Saturday 26 July: 21–27°C | 🌧 2–5 mm – More showers expected
📅 Sunday 27 July: 21–27°C | 🌧 1–3 mm – Variable with limited rain
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METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
🔎 3–4 week outlook
Update: 11/07/2025
Medium-range weather outlook
📅 Period from 25 July to 3 August: warm and mostly dry summer weather
High pressure systems are expected to linger near our region, fostering a stable atmosphere. Overall, the weather would be mostly sunny and warm, with temperatures typical for the season.
🌤️ The occasional thunderstorm over inland areas cannot be ruled out, but dry and settled conditions are likely to prevail.
📅 Week of 4 to 10 August: signs of a heatwave?
For this week, forecast models remain highly divergent, making it difficult to pinpoint a clear trend.
Nevertheless, the most probable scenario points towards persistently hot and dry weather, with a growing risk of very high temperatures and the potential onset of a heatwave in some parts of the region.
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Update 26-6-25 15h
Weather Outlook for Summer 2025: a very warm, often stormy quarter
Following a historically warm June (around +3°C above average), the summer is expected to continue under generally warmer-than-normal conditions, with a seasonal temperature anomaly of +1 to +2°C. Here’s what to expect by month:
July 2025: the hottest month of the summer
Temperatures are forecast to be well above average, with anomalies of +2 to +2.5°C, according to most models.
It is likely to be the hottest month of the summer, with frequent heat spikes and potential heatwaves.
Storm activity may be less pronounced than in June, with strong regional disparities.
Models such as ECMWF and the UK Met Office point to a significant rainfall deficit, worsening the impacts of heat.
August 2025: still warm, but stormier
The heat will persist, with a thermal surplus of +1 to +1.5°C.
A shift toward a more oceanic flow may increase instability, leading to more frequent thunderstorms and rain showers.
Storms are expected to become more common.
The month will remain warm, though somewhat less extreme than July.
September 2025: increased instability
Temperatures should remain above seasonal norms, but more moderately (+0.5 to +1°C).
Weather patterns may become more unsettled, with a return to Atlantic-driven circulation and more regular rainfall.
Wetter episodes are likely.
This setup may mark a transition toward a more active start to the meteorological autumn.
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Thermal anomalies (Charts)
BMCB Multimodel for the central region of Belgium
City forecast from ECMWF (replace location left above)
City forecast from ICON (replace location left above )