Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – Saturday, 7 February 2026, 07:00
(BMCB multimodel analysis: ICON-D2, AROME-HD, ALADIN)
🌧 Precipitation – next 36 hours
Rainfall totals will remain negligible:
- North of the Scheldt: 0–1 l/m²
- Between the Scheldt and Sambre-Meuse: 0–0.5 l/m²
- South of the Sambre-Meuse: dry
☀️ Today
This morning: wide sunny intervals, except over Flanders, western Hainaut, Namur and Belgian Luxembourg, where skies remain cloudy to overcast.
- Wind: southerly, gusts 10–30 km/h
This afternoon: fairly sunny with some cloud patches; cloudier over Antwerp and northern Flanders.
- Wind: southerly, gusts 15–35 km/h
Maximum temperatures:
- Around 11°C along the coast
- 10 to 12°C inland
- 6 to 9°C in the High Ardennes
Evening: largely clear and starry, except over West Flanders, where skies remain mostly cloudy.
- Wind: south to south-east, gusts 10–30 km/h
🌫 Tonight
Fog patches, mainly south of the Meuse. Elsewhere mostly clear, except over Flanders where cloud cover persists.
- Wind: variable or south to south-east, 5–25 km/h
Minimum temperatures:
- Around 7°C at the coast
- 3 to 7°C inland
- 4°C down to -2°C south of the Sambre-Meuse line
🌤 Tomorrow
Morning: persistent fog and low stratus over southern Liège Province and eastern Belgian Luxembourg. Elsewhere sunny, though still cloudy in the west.
Afternoon: sunny across most regions, but very cloudy over both Flanders and western Antwerp Province.
Maximum temperatures:
- Around 10°C along the coast
- 10 to 14°C inland
- 7 to 9°C in the High Ardennes
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 6 February 2026 | 09:00
Belgium’s national thermal index is expected to continue fluctuating over the coming days, remaining within a range of +1 to +6. As a result, daytime maximum temperatures will generally lie between 7 and 14 °C, with a notable peak of mildness anticipated over the weekend. The least favourable conditions are expected around 9 and 10 February, when maximum temperatures will be more modest, ranging from 4 to 11 °C.
From 12 February onwards, a downward trend in the thermal index is projected. Values could then drop to between 0 and –4, potentially persisting at least until 18 February.
The lowest daytime maxima are likely between 14 and 17 February, with temperatures ranging from –1 to +6 °C, while night-time minima would generally fall between +1 and –6 °C.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 6 February 2026 | 11:00
A broad low-pressure system, centred to the south-west of the British Isles with a central pressure of around 987 hPa, is currently affecting our regions. It is driving an unsettled south-westerly flow, bringing mild to very mild air. Conditions are expected to become drier over the weekend and into the early part of next week.
By mid next week, a deep low-pressure system with multiple centres (between 975 and 982 hPa) will move from the Atlantic and the south of the British Isles across our regions, before extending into Central Europe and the north-western Balkans. This system will bring widespread and at times heavy precipitation.
In its wake, cooler air, turning locally quite cold, will spread into Western Europe. It will first arrive from the North Sea, then from northern Germany and southern Scandinavia, with a risk of sleet or snowfall, mainly over higher ground but locally also at lower levels.
Outlook from 16 to 20 February
During the second part of the period, a ridge of high pressure is expected to extend from France towards Central Europe, before gradually shifting eastwards. At the same time, low-pressure systems are likely to track more frequently between Scotland and Iceland, towards the Norwegian Sea and later into southern Scandinavia.
This pattern would re-establish a moist and unsettled westerly to south-westerly flow over Western Europe, with a gradual rise in temperatures from 18 February onwards.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Weather Update – 6 February 2026 (14:00)
Summary of expected weather evolution in Belgium
based on the BMCB multimodel (operational models and ensembles ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF)
Very mild start to the week, followed by a gradual deterioration
Sunday 8 February
Very mild and largely sunny, with more cloud over West Flanders. Little or no precipitation (0–3 l/m²).
During the night, patchy fog may form inland.
Monday 9 February
Remaining mild and mostly dry (0–1 l/m²). Good sunny spells in the west, cloudy to very cloudy elsewhere.
Unsettled conditions returning from Tuesday
Tuesday 10 February
Mild, with increasing cloud during the afternoon. Rain (4–24 l/m²), mainly affecting Flanders, Hainaut and southern Belgian Luxembourg.
Overnight, rain becomes widespread.
Strengthening southerly to south-easterly winds, gusting 40–60 km/h.
Wednesday 11 February
Mild but very wet, locally with heavy rainfall (8–42 l/m²).
At times a brisk south-westerly wind, with gusts up to 40–60 km/h.
Thursday 12 February
Again very mild and wet, especially across the central and southern regions (4–21 l/m²).
Likely trend: gradual cooling and snow at higher elevations
Friday 13 February
Rainfall totals of 10–20 l/m². Mostly rain, but sleet above 400–500 m and snow above 600 m.
Saturday 14 February
Cooler with showers (7–15 l/m²).
Sleet from 200–300 m, snow above 400–500 m.
Sunday 15 February
Rather cold. Showers (4–9 l/m²) of rain, sleet and snow above 300 m.
Monday 16 February
Cold and unsettled (9–12 l/m²).
Rain at low levels, sleet from 100 m, snow above 300 m.
Tuesday 17 February
Cool with increased precipitation (12–18 l/m²).
Sleet from 100–200 m, snow above 300–400 m.
Wednesday 18 February
Persistent precipitation (13–21 l/m²).
Sleet above 500 m, snow above 650 m.
Thursday 19 February
Continued rain (12–18 l/m²), sleet from 500–600 m.
Friday 20 February
Little change: rain, sleet above 500 m and snow above 650 m (12–18 l/m²).
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Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 6 February 2026
Towards the transition from late February into early March, the ECMWF ensemble model indicates the establishment of a high-pressure area over the British Isles, while a low-pressure system would persist over Scandinavia and the Baltic states.
Such a pattern would favour a westerly to north-westerly airflow across the North Sea and our regions.
Weather conditions would remain broadly seasonal, with temperatures close to average and a rather unsettled regime featuring showers.
At the same time, colder air would continue to dominate across Scandinavia, the eastern North Sea, northern Germany, and large parts of central and eastern Europe.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 6-2-26
Towards a milder start to spring, though uncertainties remain
From 23 February to 1 March: calmer and drier conditions ahead
A southerly flow may allow high pressure to extend towards Western Europe, bringing a period of generally calmer and drier weather. Some weak disturbances could still cross the country, but without significant impact. Supported by the southerly airflow, temperatures would rise to around 1 to 2°C above seasonal averages.
From 2 to 9 March: a continuation of settled weather?
The southerly flow is expected to persist into early March, maintaining largely settled conditions as low-pressure systems track further north across Europe. However, a possible shift of low pressure towards the British Isles cannot be ruled out, potentially introducing the first typical March showers. Despite these uncertainties, temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)