Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Weather Update – Tuesday 3 February 2026 | 7 AM
Based on the BMCB multi-model (ICON-D2, AROME-HD, ALADIN)
🌧 Rainfall (next 36 hours)
- North of the Scheldt: 5–7 l/m²
- Between the Scheldt and Sambre-Meuse: 4–7 l/m²
- South of the Sambre-Meuse: 3–11 l/m²
Today
Morning
Largely rainy conditions.
- 🌬 Wind: southeast to east, gusts 20–40 km/h, up to 40–50 km/h over the Ardennes
Afternoon
Very cloudy, with further rain especially across central and southern areas.
- 🌬 Wind: south to east, 20–40 km/h, locally 40–50 km/h
- 🌡 Maximum temperatures:
- around 7°C along the coast
- 6–10°C inland
- 4–5°C over the High Ardennes
Evening
Unsettled with scattered showers.
- 🌬 Wind: southerly, 20–30 km/h
Night
Widespread clear spells, except in western Flanders and the Campine, remaining cloudy.
- 🌬 Wind: southerly, 10–30 km/h
- 🌡 Minimum temperatures:
- around 5°C along the coast
- 3–5°C inland
- 0–2°C south of the Sambre-Meuse line
Tomorrow
Morning
Very sunny, with only a few clouds in the south.
- 🌬 Wind: southeasterly, 10–30 km/h
Afternoon
Bright spells, though skies may become slightly veiled at times.
- 🌬 Wind: southeast to east, 20–35 km/h
- 🌡 Maximum temperatures:
- around 10°C along the coast
- 8–13°C inland
- around 7°C over the High Ardennes
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 3 February 2026 | 09:00
The latest output from the BMCB multi-model, which underpins Belgium’s national thermal indicator, confirms a gradual settling into generally mild conditions. Over the next two weeks, values are expected to fluctuate between +1 and +5, clearly above seasonal norms.
In practical terms, this would result in daytime highs ranging from 6 to 13 °C during the mildest spells, and 2 to 9 °C during less favourable periods.
Overnight and early-morning minimum temperatures are also set to remain relatively moderate, with values between 2 and 9 °C in mild phases, and –2 to +5 °C during cooler intervals.
Overall, the prospect of a persistently wintry start to February appears to be fading, giving way instead to a predominantly mild pattern with some short-lived fluctuations but no significant cold outbreaks.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 03 February 2026 | 11:00
A continental airflow from the east to south-east, generally settled and relatively mild, will affect the country over the next 48 hours.
Towards the end of the week, a rain-bearing system associated with a depression, with an estimated central pressure between 975 and 983 hPa and centred to the south-west of Ireland, will cross our regions on Friday. It will be quickly followed by a southerly to south-easterly flow, bringing renewed mild to very mild and largely settled conditions through to the beginning of next week.
Another Atlantic low-pressure system, with a central pressure of around 976 hPa, is expected between Tuesday and Wednesday. It will move from the Atlantic towards the south-west of the British Isles, producing sometimes significant rainfall across our regions, before gradually weakening and dissipating by midweek. This system is also likely to keep colder air confined to the north of the country, delaying the cooling previously suggested by earlier forecasts.
Likely trend from 13 to 17 February:
With low-pressure systems regularly tracking from the Atlantic towards the British Isles and then on to the Mediterranean basin and the Balkans, our regions are expected to experience frequently unsettled but generally mild conditions, punctuated by several, at times pronounced, rainfall events.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Weather Update –3 February 2026 | 1 pm
Summary of the weather evolution in Belgium
based on the BMCB multi-model system (operational models and ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF ensembles)
Persistently mild and often wet conditions
The coming days will confirm the dominance of a mild air flow.
Detailed forecast
Thursday 5 February
Mild, cloudy to overcast. Some rain, mainly over Wallonia, becoming more widespread overnight.
👉 Rainfall totals: 1–4 l/m²
Friday 6 February
Very mild and wet, becoming more variable during the afternoon from the southwest.
👉 Rainfall: 4–17 l/m²
Saturday 7 February
Very mild and changeable with sunny intervals. Little or no rainfall.
👉 Rainfall: 1–8 l/m²
Sunday 8 February
Calm and mild with variable cloud cover and occasional bright spells.
👉 Rainfall: 0–2 l/m²
Monday 9 February
Similar conditions with continued mild temperatures and variable skies.
👉 Rainfall: 0–1 l/m²
Likely trend thereafter
From Tuesday onwards, the weather becomes more unsettled with active systems and sometimes heavy rainfall.
Tuesday 10 February
Mild but markedly unsettled. Frequent rain, locally heavy; sleet possible above 600 m.
👉 Rainfall: 7–20 l/m²
Wednesday 11 February
Very mild and often wet.
👉 Rainfall: 10–17 l/m²
Thursday 12 February
Another active system bringing frequent rain; sleet above 650 m.
👉 Rainfall: 10–18 l/m²
Friday 13 February
Very wet conditions with heavy rainfall at times; sleet possible from 650 m.
👉 Rainfall: 15–24 l/m²
Saturday 14 February
Mild and very wet, with sleet above 600 m.
👉 Rainfall: 13–21 l/m²
Sunday 15 February
Frequent rain in very mild conditions; sleet possible above 650 m.
👉 Rainfall: 12–18 l/m²
Monday 16 February
Continued mild and wet weather with regular rainfall; sleet above 550 m.
👉 Rainfall: 9–15 l/m²
Wednesday 4 February (reminder)
Mild with occasional rain; sleet possible above 600 m.
👉 Rainfall: 7–11 l/m²
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Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 01/02/26
During the second half of February and into early March, low-pressure systems are expected initially to continue tracking mainly from the Atlantic towards the southern Baltic region. Thereafter, these systems are more likely to become established over the nearby Atlantic and to the west of the British Isles.
Within this setup, the boundary between contrasting air masses — initially located close to or just north of our regions — is expected to shift gradually northwards. This would place us more frequently under the influence of milder air originating from the Bay of Biscay and France.
In this dynamic and frequently unsettled pattern, precipitation totals may become rather significant during the second half of February, with generally mild but unsettled conditions prevailing.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 30-1-26
Period from 14 to 22 February: unsettled, but temporarily rather cold
Depression activity is likely to remain dominant. Several frontal systems may continue to affect our weather, with temperatures initially close to or slightly below seasonal averages. Towards the end of the period, a modest temperature recovery cannot be ruled out.
Week from 23 February to 1 March: a return to calmer conditions
A shift towards a southerly flow appears likely, while low-pressure systems track further north towards the British Isles. As a result, frontal systems would mainly affect northern Europe, allowing high pressure to build in more effectively. Weather conditions should become calmer and drier, with milder temperatures, generally 2 to 3°C above the seasonal norm.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)