Forecasts for the next 36 hours (chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update 24/11/2025 – 08:00
BMCB Multimodel: ICOND2 – AROME HD – ALADIN
🌧 Precipitation (next 36 h)
- North of the Scheldt: 10–23 L/m²
- Between Scheldt and Sambre–Meuse: 6–17 L/m²
- South of the Sambre–Meuse axis: 4–12 L/m²
Today
🔹 Morning: mostly overcast (90–100% nimbostratus) with frequent rain or showers.
🌬 Wind: south to southwest, gusts 20–40 km/h.
🔹 Afternoon: brighter spells south of the Meuse (20–90% stratocumulus/altocumulus/cirrus). Elsewhere: very cloudy with occasional heavy showers.
🌬 Wind: south to southwest, 20–40 km/h.
🌡 Highs: 8° along the coast, 6–9° inland, 2–5° in the High Ardennes.
🔹 Evening: very cloudy with intermittent rain.
🌬 Wind: variable or southerly (10–30 km/h), but northerly in West Flanders (20–40 km/h).
🔹 Tonight: variable skies with temporary clear spells and showers over Antwerp, East & West Flanders, and western Hainaut. Elsewhere: very cloudy with rain.
🌬 Wind: variable or north/northwest (5–25 km/h), 30–50 km/h at the coast.
🌡 Lows: 5° coast, 4–6° inland, 1–4° south of Sambre–Meuse, locally 0/-1° in valleys.
Tomorrow
🔹 Morning: variable cloudiness (70–100%) with showers. Persistent rain over Limburg, Liège and Belgian Luxembourg. Wet snow above 600 m.
🌬 Wind: north to northwest, 20–40 km/h, 50–70 km/h at the coast.
🔹 Afternoon: very changeable (30–100%) with rain or sleet showers. Continued precipitation in Limburg, Liège and Luxembourg. Wet snow above 500 m.
🌬 Wind: north to northwest, 20–40 km/h, 45–65 km/h at the coast.
🌡 Highs: 9° coast, 4–8° inland, 2–3° High Ardennes.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps (6=>? days)
Update – 24/11/2025, 11:00
A 990 hPa depression currently driving the humid, unstable yet slightly milder weather is centred over the North Sea at midday. On Tuesday it will move toward northern Italy and Croatia (≈ 999 hPa).
Until then, it maintains a fresh and unstable northerly flow over the country. On Wednesday, a stabilising ridge will extend over France, the Benelux and Germany.
On Thursday, a deep low of around 956 hPa will develop south of Iceland, bringing an increasingly mild southerly airflow by the end of the week along with rain-bearing disturbances.
Early in the weekend, a secondary 994 hPa low will affect southern England before moving on Sunday towards the Netherlands, weakening to around 1004 hPa. It will still produce rain or showers in a cooler maritime air mass.
Next week, further Atlantic depressions west of Europe will re-establish a mild to very mild southerly flow across western Europe with frequent rainy spells.
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National Thermal Indicator (Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update: 24/11/2025 – 10 a.m.
The thermal indicator will remain negative until 27 November, fluctuating between 0 and –2°, with daytime highs between 2 and 9°. After that, it turns positive and varies between 0 and +5°. Across Belgium, this means daytime temperatures of 4 to 11° on the cooler days and 6 to 13° on the milder ones.
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Forecast for the coming days (Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update 24/11/2025 – 2 PM
Weather evolution based on the BMCB Multimodel
(Operational models + ICON – AIFS – ECMWF ensembles)
📅 Wednesday 26 November
0–3 L/m² – Min –1/5 °C – Max 1/7 °C
Cool with variable cloud and sunny spells. A few coastal showers.
📅 Thursday 27 November
1–5 L/m² – Min –2/+4 °C – Max 3/9 °C
Cool and very cloudy with light, sporadic rain (mainly Flanders). Widespread rain overnight.
📅 Friday 28 November
4–20 L/m² – Min 2/8 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Mild, very cloudy with occasional moderate rain.
📅 Saturday 29 November
0–15 L/m² – Min 2/8 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Mild, variable cloud with bright spells. Evening risk of light rain in West Flanders. Widespread rain overnight.
📅 Sunday 30 November
1–25 L/m² – Min 1/7 °C – Max 3/9 °C
Seasonal, variable cloud with showers.
🔎 Probable Trend (1–8 December)
📅 Monday 1 December
4–15 L/m² – Min 0/6 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Seasonal weather with light to locally moderate rain or showers.
📅 Tuesday 2 December
5–20 L/m² – Min 4/10 °C – Max 6/12 °C
Very mild, with occasional light rain.
📅 Wednesday 3 December
1–10 L/m² – Min 3/9 °C – Max 6/12 °C
Very mild, with locally light rain.
📅 Thursday 4 December
5–10 L/m² – Min 2/8 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Mild, with locally light precipitation.
📅 Friday 5 December
5 L/m² – Min 3/9 °C – Max 6/12 °C
Very mild, with locally light rain.
📅 Saturday 6 December
15–25 L/m² – Min 3/9 °C – Max 7/13 °C
Very mild, with moderate to locally rather intense rainfall.
📅 Sunday 7 December
10–15 L/m² – Min 3/9 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Mild, with light to locally moderate rain.
📅 Monday 8 December
4–10 L/m² – Min 3/9 °C – Max 5/11 °C
Very mild, with light to locally moderate precipitation.
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METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 21-11-25
Period 6–14 December: pronounced mildness, frequent fog, and very calm conditions
For the second third of December, signals remain clearly mild across Western Europe. The Atlantic disturbance flow should mainly affect the Mediterranean and northern Maghreb.
Across the Benelux and France, a dry, high-pressure-dominated pattern prevails, with a high-pressure core positioned over Germany.
No organised winter outbreak is expected: temperatures will stay well above average, with mild but fog-prone mornings, followed by pleasant and brighter afternoons once the fog lifts.
Week 15–21 December: calm and dry weather with falling temperatures
A powerful Scandinavian high may take control, bringing continental influence across much of the region.
Within this north-easterly flow, temperatures may drop from Germany, with the intensity and dryness of the cooling depending on the strength of the continental air mass.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 11-11-25
Winter Outlook 2025–2026: mostly mild with variable conditions
🌡 Temperatures: around or slightly above normal (+0.5 °C), with a wide spread among models, meaning no dominant scenario can be confirmed.
🌧 Precipitation: near seasonal averages, with a possible surplus in eastern and mountainous areas.
🌬 General context: alternating between calm, high-pressure periods and unsettled spells, with no lasting cold outbreaks.
🔹 Summary December 2025 – February 2026:
Winter is expected to be slightly milder than average, with a mean thermal anomaly of +0.5 to +1.0 °C.
Rainfall totals should remain close to normal — slightly below average in December, above in January, balancing over the season.
A dominant westerly oceanic flow and frequent anticyclonic influence will limit major cold waves.
Under La Niña influence, circulation contrasts could intensify — bringing mild and wet conditions to western Europe, with brief but sharper cold spells in February.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)