Forecasts for the next 36 hours (chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update 24/11/2025 – 08:00
BMCB Multimodel: ICOND2 – AROME HD – ALADIN
🌧 Precipitation (next 36 h)
- North of the Scheldt: 10–23 L/m²
- Between Scheldt and Sambre–Meuse: 6–17 L/m²
- South of the Sambre–Meuse axis: 4–12 L/m²
Today
🔹 Morning: mostly overcast (90–100% nimbostratus) with frequent rain or showers.
🌬 Wind: south to southwest, gusts 20–40 km/h.
🔹 Afternoon: brighter spells south of the Meuse (20–90% stratocumulus/altocumulus/cirrus). Elsewhere: very cloudy with occasional heavy showers.
🌬 Wind: south to southwest, 20–40 km/h.
🌡 Highs: 8° along the coast, 6–9° inland, 2–5° in the High Ardennes.
🔹 Evening: very cloudy with intermittent rain.
🌬 Wind: variable or southerly (10–30 km/h), but northerly in West Flanders (20–40 km/h).
🔹 Tonight: variable skies with temporary clear spells and showers over Antwerp, East & West Flanders, and western Hainaut. Elsewhere: very cloudy with rain.
🌬 Wind: variable or north/northwest (5–25 km/h), 30–50 km/h at the coast.
🌡 Lows: 5° coast, 4–6° inland, 1–4° south of Sambre–Meuse, locally 0/-1° in valleys.
Tomorrow
🔹 Morning: variable cloudiness (70–100%) with showers. Persistent rain over Limburg, Liège and Belgian Luxembourg. Wet snow above 600 m.
🌬 Wind: north to northwest, 20–40 km/h, 50–70 km/h at the coast.
🔹 Afternoon: very changeable (30–100%) with rain or sleet showers. Continued precipitation in Limburg, Liège and Luxembourg. Wet snow above 500 m.
🌬 Wind: north to northwest, 20–40 km/h, 45–65 km/h at the coast.
🌡 Highs: 9° coast, 4–8° inland, 2–3° High Ardennes.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps (6=>? days)
A 985 hPa low-pressure system positioned north of Ireland this Sunday midday is moving towards the North Sea. At the same time, another low of 1005 hPa over the central Atlantic will deepen during the next 24 hours to around 990 hPa, heading towards the English Channel and the Benelux.
The associated rain bands will sweep across our regions, followed on Monday and Tuesday by moist and unstable maritime air, bringing showers.
On Wednesday, a ridge of high pressure will briefly stabilise conditions before new disturbances arrive on Thursday, linked to a powerful storm system that has deepened to 956 hPa south of Iceland and will move towards the Norwegian Sea on Friday and Saturday (around 974 hPa).
This system will bring fairly mild Atlantic air, though still with unsettled periods and occasional rain.
Next week, additional Atlantic lows will move between Iceland and Norway, establishing a strong south-westerly flow over western and central Europe—generally only lightly disturbed but exceptionally mild for the season.
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National Thermal Indicator (Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
The thermal indicator is trending upwards and will turn positive again from 27 November onward. It will then fluctuate between +1 and +4, corresponding in Belgium to maximum temperatures of 4 to 10°C on the cooler days, and 7 to 13°C on the milder days.
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Forecast for the coming days (Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 23 November 2025 – 14:00
Weather outlook based on the BMCB Multimodel (ICON – AIFS – ECMWF, operational + ensembles)
📅 Tuesday 25 November
- Rainfall (24h): 0–10 L/m²
- Min: 0/6° — Max: 2/8°
- Cool conditions, variable cloud with sunny breaks and showers; some wet snow possible over the Ardennes high plateaus.
- Wind: Breezy, 35–55 km/h along the North Sea.
📅 Wednesday 26 November
- Rainfall: 0–4 L/m²
- Min: -2/+4° — Max: 2/8°
- Cool, variable cloud and isolated showers, mostly near the coast.
📅 Thursday 27 November
- Rainfall: 2–10 L/m²
- Min: -2/+4° — Max: 2/8°
- Fairly mild, cloudy with light patchy rain; widespread rain overnight.
- Wind: 30–50 km/h from S–SW over western areas.
📅 Friday 28 November
- Rainfall: 1–10 L/m²
- Min: 2/8° — Max: 4/10°
- Fairly mild, cloudy with rain clearing eastwards during the afternoon.
📅 Saturday 29 November
- Rainfall: 0–5 L/m²
- Min: 2/8° — Max: 4/10°
- Fairly mild, variable cloud with sunny breaks and a few isolated showers (mainly west).
Probable Trend
📅 Sunday 30 November
- Rainfall: 3–15 L/m²
- Min: 1/7° — Max: 4/10°
- Seasonal, rain/showers sometimes moderate.
📅 Monday 1 December
- Rainfall: 3–10 L/m²
- Min: 1/7° — Max: 5/11°
- Fairly mild, occasional light showers.
📅 Tuesday 2 December
- Rainfall: 3–5 L/m²
- Min: 3/9° — Max: 7/13°
- Very mild, some light rain.
📅 Wednesday 3 December
- Rainfall: 1–10 L/m²
- Min: 3/9° — Max: 6/12°
- Very mild, local light showers.
📅 Thursday 4 December
- Rainfall: 0–2 L/m²
- Min: 2/8° — Max: 6/12°
- Fairly mild, dry or near-dry.
📅 Friday 5 December
- Rainfall: 5–10 L/m²
- Min: 3/9° — Max: 7/13°
- Very mild, dry.
📅 Saturday 6 December
- Rainfall: 2–10 L/m²
- Min: 3/9° — Max: 6/12°
- Very mild, some local light showers.
📅 Sunday 7 December
- Rainfall: 2–5 L/m²
- Min: 3/9° — Max: 5/11°
- Very mild, occasional light rain.
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METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 21-11-25
Period 6–14 December: pronounced mildness, frequent fog, and very calm conditions
For the second third of December, signals remain clearly mild across Western Europe. The Atlantic disturbance flow should mainly affect the Mediterranean and northern Maghreb.
Across the Benelux and France, a dry, high-pressure-dominated pattern prevails, with a high-pressure core positioned over Germany.
No organised winter outbreak is expected: temperatures will stay well above average, with mild but fog-prone mornings, followed by pleasant and brighter afternoons once the fog lifts.
Week 15–21 December: calm and dry weather with falling temperatures
A powerful Scandinavian high may take control, bringing continental influence across much of the region.
Within this north-easterly flow, temperatures may drop from Germany, with the intensity and dryness of the cooling depending on the strength of the continental air mass.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 11-11-25
Winter Outlook 2025–2026: mostly mild with variable conditions
🌡 Temperatures: around or slightly above normal (+0.5 °C), with a wide spread among models, meaning no dominant scenario can be confirmed.
🌧 Precipitation: near seasonal averages, with a possible surplus in eastern and mountainous areas.
🌬 General context: alternating between calm, high-pressure periods and unsettled spells, with no lasting cold outbreaks.
🔹 Summary December 2025 – February 2026:
Winter is expected to be slightly milder than average, with a mean thermal anomaly of +0.5 to +1.0 °C.
Rainfall totals should remain close to normal — slightly below average in December, above in January, balancing over the season.
A dominant westerly oceanic flow and frequent anticyclonic influence will limit major cold waves.
Under La Niña influence, circulation contrasts could intensify — bringing mild and wet conditions to western Europe, with brief but sharper cold spells in February.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)