Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – Saturday, 7 February 2026, 07:00
(BMCB multimodel analysis: ICON-D2, AROME-HD, ALADIN)
🌧 Precipitation – next 36 hours
Rainfall totals will remain negligible:
- North of the Scheldt: 0–1 l/m²
- Between the Scheldt and Sambre-Meuse: 0–0.5 l/m²
- South of the Sambre-Meuse: dry
☀️ Today
This morning: wide sunny intervals, except over Flanders, western Hainaut, Namur and Belgian Luxembourg, where skies remain cloudy to overcast.
- Wind: southerly, gusts 10–30 km/h
This afternoon: fairly sunny with some cloud patches; cloudier over Antwerp and northern Flanders.
- Wind: southerly, gusts 15–35 km/h
Maximum temperatures:
- Around 11°C along the coast
- 10 to 12°C inland
- 6 to 9°C in the High Ardennes
Evening: largely clear and starry, except over West Flanders, where skies remain mostly cloudy.
- Wind: south to south-east, gusts 10–30 km/h
🌫 Tonight
Fog patches, mainly south of the Meuse. Elsewhere mostly clear, except over Flanders where cloud cover persists.
- Wind: variable or south to south-east, 5–25 km/h
Minimum temperatures:
- Around 7°C at the coast
- 3 to 7°C inland
- 4°C down to -2°C south of the Sambre-Meuse line
🌤 Tomorrow
Morning: persistent fog and low stratus over southern Liège Province and eastern Belgian Luxembourg. Elsewhere sunny, though still cloudy in the west.
Afternoon: sunny across most regions, but very cloudy over both Flanders and western Antwerp Province.
Maximum temperatures:
- Around 10°C along the coast
- 10 to 14°C inland
- 7 to 9°C in the High Ardennes
****************
National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 7 February 2026 | 09:00
Belgium’s national thermal index is expected to remain subject to noticeable fluctuations over the coming days, while generally staying within a range of +1 to +6. In this context, daytime maximum temperatures would most often range between 7 and 14 °C, with a marked mild spell expected over the weekend and on Wednesday, 11 February.
The least favourable days, particularly Monday 9 February, would be characterised by more limited maxima, generally between 4 and 10 °C.
From 13 February onwards, a shift towards cooler conditions appears increasingly likely. The thermal index could then fall to values between 0 and –3, a level that may persist at least until 16 February.
The coldest conditions are expected during the weekend of 14–15 February. Maximum temperatures could then range from –1 to +6 °C, while minimum temperatures would generally lie between +2 and –5 °C.
According to current projections, a renewed thermal recovery may follow from 17 February, with the index rising back to values between 0 and +3. This trend, however, still requires confirmation.
****************
General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 7 February 2026 | 11 am
Up to and including Tuesday, our regions will remain under the influence of a mild to very mild continental airflow for the time of year. This air mass is circulating along the eastern flank of Atlantic low-pressure systems currently located over the nearby ocean.
One of these lows, with a central pressure falling to around 974–971 hPa, will move eastwards from Tuesday to Thursday, crossing the British Isles and the North Sea. The associated active frontal systems and unstable air masses will bring widespread and at times significant rainfall.
Towards the end of the week, this low-pressure system will be followed by the arrival of cooler air from the North Sea and Scotland, leading to a showery regime typical for the season.
After the temporary passage of an anticyclonic ridge expected during the following weekend, unsettled conditions will return. A south-westerly to westerly flow carrying mild maritime air is then likely to establish itself and persist at least until 21 February, the end of the forecast period, based on the ECMWF operational model and ensemble mean.
*****************
Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 7 February 2026, 1:00 pm
Weather outlook summary
based on the BMCB multi-model guidance (operational models and ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF ensembles)
Belgium is set to experience a prolonged unsettled period, characterised by unusually mild conditions, frequent and at times heavy rainfall, and a brief cooler interlude around mid-February. Any wintry precipitation will mainly be confined to higher elevations.
Monday 9 February
Dry and calm with no precipitation. Mild, with a mix of sunny spells and passing cloud.
Tuesday 10 February
Remaining mild. Some bright intervals at first, then increasing cloud during the afternoon. Rain spreads northwards from the south towards evening, becoming widespread overnight. Moderate southerly winds with gusts of 30–50 km/h.
Wednesday 11 February
Very mild but unsettled. Mostly cloudy with frequent rain or showers. Fresh to strong south-westerly winds, gusting 45–65 km/h.
Thursday 12 February
Continuing very mild and changeable. Cloudy to partly cloudy with numerous showers. Moderate to strong west to south-westerly winds, gusts up to 65 km/h.
Friday 13 February
Showers of rain, gradually turning to sleet above 300 m and snow above 500 m. Fresh west to north-westerly winds with gusts of 50–70 km/h. Overnight, wintry showers mainly affecting the north-eastern parts of the country.
Likely trend
Saturday 14 February
Cooler conditions. Showers of rain, with sleet above 100–300 m and snow above 300–400 m, except in western Flanders and Hainaut.
Sunday 15 February
After a brief lull, precipitation returns. Initially sleet above 200 m and snow above 400 m. Temperatures remain cool.
Monday 16 February
Periods of rain, with sleet still possible above 400 m and snow above 600 m early on.
Tuesday 17 February
Turning milder again. Mainly rain, with sleet restricted to elevations above 650 m.
Wednesday 18 February
Mild and unsettled, with spells of rain.
Thursday 19 February
Rain or showers, with sleet confined to higher ground above 650 m.
Friday 20 and Saturday 21 February
Persistently mild. Periods of rain or showers, sleet only above 650 m.
*************
Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 7 February 2026
Late February and the very start of March could be shaped by a contrasting synoptic pattern, with a low-pressure system positioned over the southern Baltic region and Poland, while a broad area of high pressure extends from the Atlantic south of Iceland towards northern Scandinavia.
This setup would favour a northerly to north-westerly airflow, bringing relatively cool and unsettled conditions to the North Sea and surrounding regions, with a typical showery regime.
ECMWF ensemble guidance also indicates signals of a gradual eastward shift of the northern high-pressure system. During the first ten days of March, high pressure could expand from the Norwegian Sea towards western Russia.
Such a configuration would place large parts of Europe under a dry continental flow, still on the cool side, but with temperatures generally close to seasonal averages.
*************
**************
SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 6-2-26
Towards a milder start to spring, though uncertainties remain
From 23 February to 1 March: calmer and drier conditions ahead
A southerly flow may allow high pressure to extend towards Western Europe, bringing a period of generally calmer and drier weather. Some weak disturbances could still cross the country, but without significant impact. Supported by the southerly airflow, temperatures would rise to around 1 to 2°C above seasonal averages.
From 2 to 9 March: a continuation of settled weather?
The southerly flow is expected to persist into early March, maintaining largely settled conditions as low-pressure systems track further north across Europe. However, a possible shift of low pressure towards the British Isles cannot be ruled out, potentially introducing the first typical March showers. Despite these uncertainties, temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year.
***************
Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
**************
Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)