Forecasts for the next 36 hours
(chart)
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 9 February 2026, 7 a.m.
(BMCB multimodel analysis: ICON-D2, AROME-HD, ALADIN)
Rainfall – next 36 hours
Overall rainfall amounts will remain limited:
- North of the Scheldt: 1–3 l/m²
- Between the Scheldt and the Sambre–Meuse axis: 1–3 l/m²
- South of the Sambre–Meuse: 1–5 l/m²
Today
This morning, some fog patches linger over the Campine area. The sky is generally overcast with little or no sunshine. Winds blow from the southeast to south, light to moderate, with gusts of 10–30 km/h, locally 30–40 km/h over the Ardennes high ground.
This afternoon remains cloudy, though local brighter spells may develop. The SE to southerly wind strengthens slightly, with gusts of 20–40 km/h.
Maximum temperatures will reach around 9 °C along the coast, 4 to 11 °C inland, but only 2 to 3 °C in the High Ardennes.
During the evening, a few clear intervals are still possible, but skies will remain locally very cloudy, especially over Flanders, the Ardennes and Gaume. SE winds continue with gusts up to 40 km/h.
Overnight, skies turn very cloudy to overcast, with rain gradually spreading in, except over the Liège area and Limburg. Minimum temperatures will range from about 5 °C at the coast, 4–7 °C inland, and +1 to –1 °C south of the Sambre–Meuse axis.
Tomorrow
In the morning, conditions remain mostly overcast, with little sunshine and still some light rain, except over both Flanders. Winds from south to southeast, gusting 20–40 km/h.
In the afternoon, skies stay very cloudy with occasional light rain, but become more variable across the southwestern half of the country. Winds shift southwest to south, with gusts of 20–40 km/h.
Maximum temperatures around 11 °C at the coast, 6–12 °C inland, and 5–6 °C in the High Ardennes.
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National Thermal Indicator
(Chart)
MULTIMODEL BMCB
(These forecasts are generally updated daily)
Update – 9 February 2026 | 09:00
Until 13 February, Belgium will retain generally mild conditions for the time of year. The national thermal index will fluctuate between +2 and +6, resulting in maximum temperatures ranging from 7 to 13 °C. Friday 13 February will bring a slight moderation, with values typically between 4 and 10 °C.
A more pronounced cooling is expected during the following weekend. The thermal index will then fall to values between 0 and -3, with maximum temperatures ranging from -1 to 6 °C. The night from Saturday into Sunday is expected to be the coldest: minimum temperatures around 0 to +2 °C along the coast, dropping to between 0 and -6 °C inland, and locally down to -7 to -12 °C in some valleys in the east of the country.
From 16 February and at least until 23 February, a return to milder conditions is likely. The national thermal index would then rise again to between +1 and +4. Daytime temperatures are expected to range mostly between 5 and 12 °C on the mildest days, and between 3 and 10 °C during cooler periods.
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General Weather Evolution for the Next Days
Europe: Analysis & Forecast maps
UPDATE – 9 February 2026 | 11 am
A deep low-pressure system, with a central pressure of 974–975 hPa, will reach western Ireland on Tuesday. On Wednesday it will move eastwards across the British Isles, before becoming centred over the Netherlands on Thursday.
Its associated, fairly active rain bands will affect our regions from Tuesday night into Wednesday, accompanied by a marked influx of mild, maritime air.
By Friday, the low will have shifted towards the southern Baltic Sea, allowing colder air of polar origin to spread towards the British Isles and the North Sea. This air mass will reach the Benelux area ahead of the weekend, bringing unstable conditions with showers, occasionally falling as sleet at low levels and as snow over the higher ground of the Ardennes.
During the night from Saturday to Sunday, a ridge of high pressure will move west to east across the Benelux, temporarily stabilising conditions. However, this will be accompanied by widespread frost. Towards the end of the weekend, a new area of rain will move in, locally preceded by sleet or snow.
This system will then be followed by a return to a mild but unsettled south-westerly maritime flow, with further spells of rain and windy conditions.
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Forecast for the coming days
(Chart)
Multimodel BMCB ( OPERATIONAL + ENSEMBLES ICON-GFS-ECMWF-AIFS-GCGFS )
Forecast of the range of temperatures, precipitations + general type of weather in Belgium
(These forecasts are usually updated daily)
Update – 9 February 2026 | 1:00 pm
Weather outlook for Belgium
Summary based on the BMCB multimodel (operational models and ICON, AIFS, GFS, ECMWF ensembles).
Wednesday 11 to Sunday 15 February: unsettled, then turning colder
Wednesday 11 February
Mild and unsettled conditions. Mostly cloudy to overcast with periods of rain or showers, locally heavy.
Rainfall totals: 5–40 l/m².
Moderate to fresh south-westerly to westerly winds, gusts 40–60 km/h.
Thursday 12 February
Continuing mild with extensive cloud cover and frequent rain or showers.
Rainfall: 8–35 l/m².
Fresh westerly winds, gusts 45–65 km/h.
Friday 13 February
Temperatures gradually falling. Very cloudy to variable with scattered showers or wintry showers, mainly inland.
Rainfall: 1–25 l/m².
Westerly to south-westerly winds, gusts 30–50 km/h.
Saturday 14 February
Noticeably colder. Showers of rain, turning to sleet above 100–200 m and snow above 300–400 m.
Rainfall: 1–10 l/m².
Brisk northerly winds, gusts 50–70 km/h.
Sunday 15 February
Very cool but often sunny during the day.
During the following night, precipitation returns, initially as sleet and snow above 200–300 m.
Rainfall: 3–8 l/m².
Winds veering southerly, gusts 45–65 km/h.
Likely trend (16–23 February): milder again
From Monday 16 February, a mild and wet pattern is expected to re-establish.
- Monday 16: spells of rain (5–20 l/m²), with a marginal sleet risk above 600 m.
- Tuesday 17: mild with frequent rain (7–20 l/m²).
- Wednesday 18: very mild, frequent showers (9–15 l/m²).
- Thursday 19: rain or showers, slight sleet risk above 650 m (9–15 l/m²).
- Friday 20: mild and wet, sleet possible above 500–600 m (6–15 l/m²).
- Saturday 21: continued unsettled conditions (7–12 l/m²), sleet above 600 m.
- Sunday 22 & Monday 23: mild with scattered showers (5–10 l/m², then 5–8 l/m²), sleet confined to above 650 m.
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Trend of sea-level pressure anomalies across Europe and the Atlantic Ocean
Update – 9 February 2026
The end of February and the very first days of March could be characterised by a contrasting synoptic pattern across Europe. A strong high-pressure system is expected to be positioned over the northern Atlantic and northern parts of the European continent, while a low-pressure centre develops over northern Italy. Between these two systems, an active and moist frontal zone would extend from central France towards Belarus and Ukraine, crossing central Europe and the northern Balkans.
Under this setup, our regions would be influenced by a northerly to north-easterly flow, occasionally unstable, allowing for the passage of a few showers. Temperatures would generally remain close to seasonal averages.
Later in the first ten days of March, model guidance suggests a gradual expansion of the high-pressure area from the Atlantic towards southern Scandinavia and further towards the Black Sea. This evolution would favour the dominance of a drier, continental air flow over our regions, bringing more stable weather conditions.
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SOURCE: METEOCONSULT
BENELUX:
Weather Outlook for 3-4 weeks
Update 6-2-26
Towards a milder start to spring, though uncertainties remain
From 23 February to 1 March: calmer and drier conditions ahead
A southerly flow may allow high pressure to extend towards Western Europe, bringing a period of generally calmer and drier weather. Some weak disturbances could still cross the country, but without significant impact. Supported by the southerly airflow, temperatures would rise to around 1 to 2°C above seasonal averages.
From 2 to 9 March: a continuation of settled weather?
The southerly flow is expected to persist into early March, maintaining largely settled conditions as low-pressure systems track further north across Europe. However, a possible shift of low pressure towards the British Isles cannot be ruled out, potentially introducing the first typical March showers. Despite these uncertainties, temperatures are likely to remain above average for the time of year.
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Weather Outlook for 3 months
Update 13-12-25 – 3:00 PM
January 2026: a wintry spell before milder conditions return
January 2026 is expected to open with a distinctly wintry phase, followed by a clear and lasting return to milder conditions during the second half of the month.
The nationwide temperature anomaly is estimated at +0.7°C, pointing to an overall mild month despite a cold start.
Early January could bring low temperatures and a risk of snowfall reaching lowland areas.
From mid-January onwards, Atlantic influences are likely to dominate, bringing temperatures well above seasonal averages.
In terms of precipitation, a slight surplus (+5%) is anticipated. Weather systems would be fairly frequent at the beginning of the month under a northerly flow, before shifting to a westerly to south-westerly Atlantic regime from mid-month.
As a result, January could become the wettest month of the 2025-2026 winter.
February 2026: slightly drier and still mild
February is expected to remain generally mild, with a temperature surplus close to +1°C.
Weather conditions are likely to be contrasting, with cold mornings followed by milder and often sunny afternoons, as high-pressure systems settle more frequently over the region.
Precipitation totals would be slightly below average (-10%), with less active weather systems due to the influence of persistent high pressure over continental Europe.
March 2026: finally a seasonal month?
March could finally deliver near-average seasonal conditions.
Temperatures are expected to fluctuate around climatological norms, with alternating cooler periods and milder, more unsettled phases, typical of early spring.
Precipitation should be close to average overall, though locally below normal, under the possible influence of high-pressure systems over northern Europe.
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Update to BMCB Multimodel – since 1 October 2025
from ICON (replace location left above )
from ECMWF (replace location left above)